Canada Dry and the Lame Duck : An analysis on the Afar Forum held from 2nd to 4th Septembre 2016 in Brussels, Belgium.

Loubak Dongolo website and Afar patriots called on for the Afar Forum boycott held in Belgium between 02 and 04/09/16. The Afar forum is, normally, a platform held every two years for discussions on Afar global issues from Afar Triangle (Sidicamo ) Afar people gathering from Ethiopia, Eritrea and Djibouti.

Afar Forum is an enigma. Nobody knows the Afar Forum legal Framework. Is it a charity? Is it an Association? Where is it registered? Germany, Belguim, France... What about its constitution and accountability? If we don't have an answer to all these questions how can we stop it from being hijacked like it is the case now. So many questions that need urgent answers.

Since its creation 25 years ago it has worked against Afar people interest. The Forum has been infiltrated by groups that work against the Afar people interest and agenda, it says it champions. The forum creation coincide with TPLF accession to power in Ethiopia, Eritrian People Liberation Front in Eritrea ( EPLF ) and Gouled/Guelleh regime RPP accession to power in Djibouti. The Forum Agenda down the years worked towards the objectives of those oppressive regimes agenda. It has become a gatekeeper institution to control and keep in check their aspiration. If you look at its record it is largely negative. For the past 25 years, Afar Forum Executive members committee rotates around a couple of people on a round robin selection process, namely, Mr Numan Musa and Mr Amin Musa. It is the same model as Putin-Medvedev for the President and Prime Minister of Russia. The merit of Putin-Medvedev ticket we know who runs the show. Arguably, I will say the ticket Putin-Medvedev worked to preserve Russia's independence and place in the world as a superpower to reckon with. It is not the case of the two Musas. In this duet Afar people cause is the casualty.
The two Musas control the Forum, them two are controlled by Hanfareh Ali Mirah. Hanfareh is controlled by TPLF and RPP. These are two non Afar regimes TPLF and RPP that oppress Afar people in Ethiopia and Djibouti for 25 and 40 years respectively. Afar people are also oppressed in Eritrea too. As it is a TPLF and RPP run Forum they exclude Eritrean Afar. All Afar Freedom mouvements like Ugguumo, ARDUF, RASDO, FRUD, UGUTA/TUUSA..... must be present as it is a Pan Afar Forum ( SIDICAMO ). 

For the last 25 years Afar Forum became a talk shop and an instrument of Afar people dashed hope. The Forum agenda is to promote those oppressive regimes one instead of the one of the Afar people it says it serves.
Amin Musa informed the audience that the Afar Forum observes a strict neutrality rule. How can you talk about neutrality when you are not oppressing yourself as Afar but another entity is oppressing you, Tigrinya, Tigre or Issa? Where the neutrality fits in this context? Let's hear what's Desmond Tutu says about neutrality when it comes to injustice and oppression. I can assure you he is not referring to the Black South Africans neutrality in face of the White apartheid regime. One can asks himself. Where the Black South Africans neutral against the Apartheid regime? Desmond Tutu, I quote said "If you are neutral in situations of injustice, you have chosen the side of the oppressor. If an elephant has its foot on the tail of a mouse and you say that you are neutral, the mouse will not appreciate your neutrality." Neither will I appreciate it Desmond!!!! These Kapos are struck by the Stockholm syndrome. The regimes that oppress, kill, rape Afar people on a daily basis have their platform on the forum. However, they exclude, ostracise and smear those who fight, risk their lives on a daily basis for Afar people emancipation, freedom and rights, the likes of the FRUD movement, Dr Ali Coubba, Mohamed Kadamy, Ugguummo, ARDUF, RASDO, Uguta/Tuusa and many other VIP ( Very Important People ) within the Afar spectrum.
Instead they favour a cliques of Very Insignificant People ( VIP ) Hanfareh, Badoul., Hanfareh Ali Mirah…etc.
Dissent and advocating for Afar people is NOT tolerated and considered hostile.
Ugass Hanfareh and his family cozy up to TPLF and RPP at all levels. Even recently, on the 16 August 2016, Djiboutian Army elements fleeing FRUD attack tortured and killed two Afar cameleers Houmed Kamil Ali Mohamed and Mohamed Oumar. Djiboutian Army and Security Forces commit on a regular basis war crimes, crime against humanity, rape against Afar civilian population. The Forum does not condemn it. It is actually condone it by inviting the regimes that commit these despicable crimes.

Here is a photo of Ugass cozying up to the Djiboutian Defence Secretary responsible for Afar civilian mass murder

Ugass Hanfareh and Djibouti Defense Minister Bahdon

Omar Ali Mirah at The European Parliament lobbying against TPLF land grab

Ugass Hanfareh and his family are out of touch with Afar masses as shown on the picture below. Omar Ali Mirah is showing how his entire family is out of touch with Afar people by not supporting the Afar attendees to the Afar Forum in NOT crossing his wrists ( Oromo people crossed arm sign to denounce TPLF regime oppression ) to show solidarity with the Oromos and Amharas people against TPLF regime. Instead he is showing like their mentor Ismaïl Omar Guelleh ( IOG ) regime solidarity with TPLF who handed 6 OLF ( Oromo Liberation Front ) movement members to TPLF regime recently. Despicable act, you give sanctuary to people and then you hand them over to a blood thirsty regime like the TPLF, in total breach of Geneva convention 1951. Djiboutian dictator Ismaïl Omar Guelleh ( IOG ) will eventually pay for this crime and many others.

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There was a big contrast between the discourses of those young Afar speakers, genuinely, upbeat to further their people cause and Mr Hanfareh Ali Mirah TPLF and RPP stooge that I kindly call Ugass Hanfareh and Mr Badoul Hassan Badoul, a junior Qagabas, a Djibouti government representative and Afar people freedom aspiration gravedigger.
Mr Badoul one of the "junior Qagabas", the Qagabas are well known for their, I care less attitude towards Afar people interest and wellbeing, was present as IOG, the Ethiopian born Djiboutian dictator, special envoy to the Afar Forum.
Badoul said as a leader he knows what it takes and what he is talking about. Wait until you hear what will follow from "our leader". He even compared the Djiboutian Resistance movement FRUD struggle against the dictator IOG to the one between the Prophet Mohamed ( PBUH ) and the Quraish tribe. The regime is not at its first blasphemous rhetoric. In a presidential election rally's in 2016, a cleric likened the dictator IOG to Allah ( Azawajal ) with a "labek ya ismaïl". That cleric did not survive long his blasphemous rant. To Mr Badoul credit we knew exactly who he was and what to expect from him. He even shared with the Forum through a proverb the level of understanding there is between his RPP, TPLF regime and Ugass Hanfareh to oppress Afar people in the Afar triangle. He went on to add that we need to create an Afar Development Fund for Djiboutian ( RPP ) and Ethiopian ( TPLF ) Afar to fund projects. The Fund excludes Eritrean Afar. Why? I thought that Afar Forum encompass the whole Afar Triangle.
Are you familiar with the Arabian Nights tale "Ali Baba and the 40 thieves?" Imagine, now for a second, the 40 thieves asked you to trust them with your money. My gut reaction will be "You're having a laugh!!! " That's exactly my reaction!!!!

Mr Badoul attributed all the false flag attacks in Djibouti Afar heartland by the Djiboutian regime security forces and its military to the FRUD ( The Front for the Restoration of Unity and Democracy ) armed resistance movement to discredit it in front of Afar people and the International Community.
There are so bad at organising false flag attacks that the Army and the Interior ministry security forces ( Dumb and Dumber from the movie with Jim Carey and Jeff Daniel: the two unintelligent friends ) were trading accusations as to who is responsible for sabotaging the Kuwaiti ONG pick up trucks. False flag attacks Djiboutian style. Like the two unintelligent friends they are unaware what is at stake and the rule of the game: FRUD is supposed to take the blame folks! From the top IOG to a minion like Badoul Hassan Badoul the regime excels in mediocrities. The best performers in mediocrity are awarded the Incitatus prize. Incitatus was Calligula's horse, the Roman emperor. In his madness Calligula nominated his favourite horse Incitatus Consul and Senator of Rome. Likewise IOG the Dictator nominate only mediocrity as his henchmen. Mr Badoul Hassan Badoul sound like Canada Dry commercial in French "ça ressemble à l'alcool, c'est doré comme l'alcool Mais ce n'est pas de l'alcool et c'est pour ça que ça désaltere". "It looks like alcohol, it is pale gold like alcohol, however it is not alcohol and it quenches your thirst". The expression Canada Dry is used to label something that has appearance of something but without the inherent quality of that thing. He is a fake Afar. He looks like an Afar, he sounds like an Afar, and however, he doesn't behave like an Afar. Badoul Hassan Badoul is a small minion and is of no use, except excelling in treason. At least, a Canada Dry drink quenches your thirst.
Before I come to the second "personage" I would like to clarify a very important point. Afar people don't have a King. Different Afar territories, known as Sultanates, are administered by an Authority called Sultan ( authority in Arabic ). They are all independent of each other. It's true that under the Sultan Ali Mirah reign Allah Yarhamo, Afar Aussa Sultanate was very important one, as shown in the photo below of the late Sultan Ali Mirah and the late Emperor Haïlé Selassie

Sultan Ali Mirah and Emperor Haïle Selassie

Unfortunately, we can't say the same of his heirs. The old adage "like father, like son" does not apply to any of his offsprings. They are delusional if they believe that they can achieve Afar kingship where their more able father could not accomplish it. It will definitely NOT be happening at the price of complicity with the Afar people enemies and oppressors. He recently reached the lowest point by torpedoing Afar people solidarity with the late Vizir Shehem Houmed Ahmed ( May Allah rest his soul ) against IOG regime. He came all the way from Addis Abeba, as usual on IOG all paid expenses, to the rescue of his master to save his regime. The Vizir died conveniently, of a heart attack within less than a month. Foul play here is very likely. The regime is very notorious for poisoning political opponents. If anybody deserves Afar people Kingship, it was the late Vizir Shehem Houmed Ahmed and Sultan Abdoulkader Daoud, the Sultan of Raheïta. How low can you get when you pretend to the Afar people kingship and you don't attend or send a representative while you are still in Djibouti to the funeral of nobility like Vizir Shehem Houmed Ahmed? He made the effort to silence him. He came all the way from Addis Abeba.
The Forum second guest was Sultan Hanfareh Ali Mirah TPLF and RPP double agent. Our own Kim Philby, the British agent who defected to the Soviet Union during the Cold War. Unlike Kim Philby, unmasking Hanfareh was a piece of cake.
We put him to the "Duck test" to figure him out. The duck test implies that a person can identify an unknown subject by observing that subject's habitual characteristics. To reveal, what's is hidden or even to validate and to argument that something is not what it appears to be.
Here is the duck test expression "If it looks like a duck, swims like a duck, and quacks like a duck, then it probably is a duck." We will kindly replace the word Duck with the word Ugass ( see below photo of Issa tribe leader/authority: Ugass Mustapha Ibrahim, left et Sultan Hanfareh Ali Mirah, right ).

(Right ) Sultan Hanfareh Ali Mirah and ( Left ) Ugass Moustapha Mohamed Ibrahim.

Djibouti Dictator Ismaïl Omar Guelleh with Sultan Hanfareh Ali Mirah and his entire family. Allegiance photo

1.For the If it look like a duck ( you are an Ugass ) test deduction reveal that in facts and reality, the Afar Sultan Hanfareh is an Issa Ugass. Look at Ugass Hanfareh et UgassMustapha Ibrahim photo. Conficuis said one picture is worth a thousand words. All the pictures supporting this article are worth more that the words used.

2)For the "if it swim like a duck ( you are an Ugass )" if you associate, not only yourself and your whole family with those who oppress and kill openly your people. If they finance you and your whole family, you travel with their passports ( again the whole family ) while you are not a national of that country. The response is you are a duck ( you are an Ugass ).

3)"and quacks like a duck( You are an Ugass )" by saying that those who kill and oppress your people are your brothers. When You advise Afar people to raise the white flag by saying that the others, TPLF and RPP regime have more military hardware than us, they have more money than us or they have international backing. Did the TPLF raise the white flag when they were fighting the DERG? Or the EPLF, in Eritrea raised it for that matter? Are the Oromos and the Amharas people and their leaders raising the white flag like you suggesting against the TPLF and RPP now? I have one pertinent question for you Hanfareh. Who financed and armed TPLF during the struggle against the DERG? Wasn't it Hanfareh's Afar Liberation Front? An Afar proverbs says Qafar missila itama "Rakub numuk yakmem nun ka yeceh gaba". The camel will only eat ( bite ) the hand you hold out!

Hanfareh hope message to Afar people is to cave in. According to Hanfareh, we just have to pray for our condition to improve. Don't fight for your freedom there is no hope. I, Ugass Hanfareh Ali Mirah asking you to give up. We all know he has been paid off by TPLF and RPP to convince us that there is no need to fight. Patrice Lumumba said "without struggle you will not achieve a thing, neither today or ever."
Allah Azawajal said in Surate 13 Ar Rad verses 11: "Indeed, Allah will not change the condition of a people until they change what is in themselves."

Hanfareh to deflect from the real issues, talked about sugar plantations, salt quarries. Not a word about Qadaytu, Qundafaqo, Gadamaytu he sold out to Ismaïl Omar Guelleh and the Issas with his complicity. Afar Forum should be the platform to discuss these issues of concern to the Afar people. He should gather Afar people leader Council to denounce it and say this illegal and say as Afar leader I oppose it. If you find,even the slightest comment from Hanfareh concerning Qadaytu, Qundafaqo, Gadamaytu . I will volunteer for a public stoning. I will even pay for the stones. I dare anybody even Hanfareh to prove me wrong. Quite the opposite he, actually, put pressure on Ismaïl Ali Sirro to agree to it. An illegal act, according to the Afar Federal State and Ethiopian Constitution. Afar people were not consulted. He blamed the incumbent Afar Federal State, TPLF puppet administration ( Ismaïl Ali Sirro, APDO/ANDP ) of all the ills of the earth. I am not saying that the current administration is blameless. It is true that the Afar federal is one of the less developed and educated of all of Ethiopian federal states however, Afar people have a very well educated diaspora who can contribute to the development drive of their state. The sticking point here is again Hanfareh.
Habib and Hanfareh Ali Mirah (ALF) administered it from 1992 to March 1996. Ugass Hanfareh ( September 1995 to March 1996 ) didn’t last a year. Under his watch the authority went in a reverse gear to the past and darkness. He could not handle Afar educated masses. He, actually, saw them as a threat to his family's feudal power. He imported Amharas workforce to work in the administration, mainly in the urban areas. To date Amharas in the Federal Afar State represent 4.5 % of the inhabitants and make up in urban areas 42.5 %, Afar come in the second place with 32.6%. ( Source Wikipedia Demographics Afar Regional State ). All the present disparity is a legacy from the Ali Mirah family's Regional State administration. A recent IOL ( Indian Ocean Letters ) press article reveal that Hanfareh had a go at the TPLF. That's far from the truth. Even with a limited Afar language grasp like mine you can see it was the opposite.

We the People ( Afar ) have to take the Afar Forum ownership. It is undemocratic the same two people are running it for 25 years. It is not acceptable that under the cover of neutrality now the Forum is NOT fulfilling its role and real purpose and doing completely the opposite of what it supposes to do. Oppress Afar people instead of emancipating it. The Forum became an accomplice of these regimes. The Forum must come back under Afar people control. It can't remain as it is. Neutrality has no place when facing oppression and injustice.

Mohamed Hassan fln
Xuko Cina